The global risks of a Trump presidency
By Elizabeth Casella, Managing Editor
Donald Trump has spoken about a tremendous amount of policies that he plans to lead the country with that are actually terrifying. Most of this political rhetoric are radical and bring out the best hatred the United States has seen since women’s suffrage and the civil rights movement. In the words of democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, “He is not just unprepared, he is temperamentally unfit to hold an office that requires knowledge, stability and immense responsibility.” Trump is certainly a wildcard candidate, and not in a good way, but what are the actual global risks that his presidency would pose?
Trump would be a threat not only internationally, but at home as well. One of the biggest fears that this presidency would pose is the risk to the U.S. economy. From all of the major economic policy proposals released by the Trump campaign many financial analysts forecast that they would all lead to be catastrophic. His policies, according to a specific report released by Moody’s analytics and according to the Washington Post, would push the U.S. into a two-year recession, which would lead to the longest downturn since the
Great Depression. It would also cost the country millions of jobs. Another major concern is the unprecedented huge tax cut proposals. These would increase federal deficits by about $10 trillion over a decade according to the Tax Policy Center. Trump has offered few spending reductions to offset this. Such plans when analyzed further would massively destabilize the economy.
His foreign policy is not much better. Trump has repeatedly and almost religiously spoken about building a wall between Mexico and the U.S. border. Trump plans to physically build a wall between the southern border to stop illegal immigration. This plan forces Mexico to finance the wall by seizing all remittance payments derived from illegal wages sent to Mexico, as well as increase fees on all types of visas, border- crossing cards and fees on ports of entry. Research done by investopedia.com shows that over 40 percent of illegal immigrants enter the country legally and overstay their visas, meaning that they don’t illegally cross the border. The total of illegal immigrants crossing the border from Mexico is also declining immensely and has been since 2007.
Trump has also suggested that direct confrontation, including bombing and the use of ground troops in the fight against terror. This is in direct contradiction to isolationist statements he has made and his condemnation of Clinton’s support of the second Iraq war in 2002. He also has casted doubt on the country’s commitment to NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) when he told the New York Times that he would consider a member nation’s financial contribution to the organization before coming to anyone’s defense. The reason being the U.S. contributes far more than many of its European Allies. This is extremely concerning due to article 5 of the founding treaty, which says that an attack on one ally is an attack on all allies. It also commits member nations to come to each other’s defense in the event that a member is attacked.
The bottom line is that amongst many of Trump’s plans there are a lot of details missing. The one’s that have been given are not very comforting either because they view a more enclosed America with international relations deteriorating rather than strengthening, both because trade and implied disloyalty to important deals and alliances being broken. Many researchers have found his policies to be “fiscally unsound” and could send the economy into a spirally recession and deficits will rise with the national debt as well.
Donald Trump for president is poor choice that the country could stand behind. The international effects of his presidency will be catastrophic and are widely unpredictable as to how bad they truly will be. Many nations have urged the U.S. to not stand behind this candidate as well as many republicans as it will ruin the country, not “Make America great again.”